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☆ Private credit may offer high yields, but investors should tread carefully. What to know
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-29 | by ( Michelle Fox | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Private credit has become a hot investment on Wall Street as institutional investors seek out alternative investments with attractive dividends. "Investors might consider allocating a portion of their portfolio to private credit, depending on their individual risk tolerance, investment horizon and financial goals." Private credit funds have yields generally in the low-teens, although it can vary, he said. In a February report on U.S. life insurance ratings, Fitch Ratings said, "elevated private credit borrower leverage and a relative deterioration in private credit terms and conditions during more competitive lending environments are adding to pressures in the credit quality of private credit assets." The majority of the portfolio is in direct lending private credit, but a portion is also in publicly-traded securities of larger corporate issuers.

Persons: SoFi, Vivek Paul, Paul, Goldman, Greg Olafson, David Solomon, Fitch, Lisa Kwasnowski, Blackstone, Kwasnowski, Chuck Failla, it's, Failla, Oppenheimer, Mitchel Penn, Penn, Ares Capital, They've Organizations: Street, Franklin BSP Private Credit Fund, CNBC, Wall, BlackRock, Research, Management, UBS, Blackstone Private Credit Fund, Sovereign Financial Group, Securities and Exchange Commission, Owl, Golub, Ares, Sixth, SEC Locations: DBRS Morningstar's

☆ Philippine central bank likely to hold rates at 6.5% on Thurs, may hike again in Dec: Reuters poll
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-14 | by ( Veronica Dudei Maia Khongwir | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

FILE PHOTO: A security guard stands beside a logo of the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (Central Bank of the Philippines) posted at the main gate in Manila, Philippines April 28, 2016. “We do not rule out any possibility of further rate hikes unless there is consistent improvement in the successive months’ inflation prints. Median forecasts showed rates at 6.75% until mid-2024, with a first rate cut seen as coming in Q3 - later than predicted in a poll taken before the recent surprise hike. “To maintain the strength of the peso, the BSP needs to ensure a healthy interest rate differential with the U.S. Therefore, a pause by the U.S. Fed adds to a case that BSP will do likewise,” said Sarah Tan, economist at Moody’s.

Persons: Romeo Ranoco, Eli Remolona, ”, Debalika Sarkar, “, Sarah Tan Organizations: ng Pilipinas, Central Bank of, REUTERS, Reuters, ANZ, U.S Locations: BENGALURU, Philippine, Philippines, Manila

☆ Liquidity gridlock worsens in US commercial real estate sector
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-08 | by ( Shankar Ramakrishnan | Thomson Reuters | Shankar Ramakrishnan Has Nearly Years Of Financial Journalism Experience In Writing | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +5 min

And those workouts are becoming mathematically untenable even for private lenders. Borrowing costs for the CRE market have risen more than income, a situation prompted by the steepest jump in interest rates in decades. NO REAL OPTIONRising caution among private lenders will worsen the paucity of liquidity for property owners who have no real exit option. Some private lenders faced the risk of ending up paring their portfolios that were expensive to manage, he added. But the firm's head of commercial real estate economics Thomas LaSalvia said probability of a contagion effect was low.

Persons: Mike Comparato, Jeff Holzmann, Razmig Boladian, Claudia Faust, Alex Horn, Horn, Jay Hiemenz, Thomas LaSalvia, Shankar Ramakrishnan, Anna Driver Organizations: Realty Trust, RREAF Holdings, Rubicon Point Partners, Hawkeye Partners, Thomson Locations: Franklin, Texas

A double-digit gain in the price of rice drove annual inflation to accelerate by 6.1% last month, its fastest pace in four months, according to data from the Philippine Statistics Authority released on Thursday. The country's economic planning agency on Thursday said it would recommend extending the lowered tariff rates on rice until December 2024, a day after Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr lifted the cap on rice prices. Rice inflation quickened by 17.9% in September, the fastest in over 14 years, the statistics authority said, helping fuel the 10.0% food inflation rate for the month. September's faster-than-expected inflation could convince the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) to resume hiking rates after it left its benchmark rate (PHCBIR=ECI) steady at its last two meetings. Last month's inflation print brought year-to-date average inflation to 6.6%.

Persons: Lisa Marie David, Ferdinand Marcos Jr, Marcos, September's, Nicholas Mapa, Neil Jerome Morales, Mikhail Flores, Karen Lema, Martin Petty Organizations: REUTERS, Philippine Statistics Authority, Philippine, ng Pilipinas, ING, Christian, Thomson Locations: Manila, Philippines, MANILA

Summary June annual inflation slowest since AprilRisks to inflation tilted to the upside - central bankSlower June inflation supports rate pause expectationsMANILA, July 5 (Reuters) - Philippine annual inflation eased for a fifth straight month in June, supporting expectations the central bank will keep rates unchanged for longer as food and transport cost pressures ease. The central bank, however, noted inflation risks remained tilted to the upside due to the potential impact of El Nino dry weather conditions and wage increases. Last month's inflation rate, which was below the 5.5% forecast in a Reuters poll, brought the year-to-date average to 7.2%. It next meets on Aug. 17 under newly appointed BSP Governor Eli Remolona, who took the helm of the central bank on July 3. ING Economist Nicholas Mapa said in a tweet that moderating price pressures give the central bank space to extend the pause and keep rates steady for now.

Persons: Eli Remolona, Nicholas Mapa, Karen Lema, Enrico Dela Cruz, Martin Petty, Jacqueline Wong Organizations: El, ng Pilipinas, ING, Thomson Locations: MANILA, El Nino

☆ Philippine central bank on hold for rest of year, cut in early 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-20 | by ( Veronica Dudei Maia Khongwir | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

All 24 economists polled June 13-19 forecast the BSP will hold its benchmark overnight borrowing rate (PHCBIR=ECI) at 6.25% at its policy meeting on June 22. A strong majority of respondents, 14 of 17, forecast rates will stay at 6.25% for the rest of the year with the remaining three predicting a rate cut by end-2023. The central bank, which had previously closely followed the U.S. Federal Reserve in hiking interest rates, is now charting a distinct course. "In later meetings if the Fed hikes, the BSP is likely to stay on hold. The Fed kept interest rates unchanged at 5.00%-5.25% last week but signaled it may still hike by as much as half of a percentage point by end-2023.

Persons: Eloisa Lopez, Felipe Medalla, Francisco Dakila Jr, Shreya, Veronica Dudei Maia Khongwir, Anant Chandak, Madhumita Gokhale, Hari Kishan, Ross Finley, Sharon Singleton Organizations: REUTERS, ng Pilipinas, U.S . Federal Reserve, Fed, Barclays, BSP, Thomson Locations: Makati City, Metro Manila, Philippines, BENGALURU, Philippine

June 19 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever, financial markets columnist. Looking ahead and beyond China, investors have two other Asian monetary policy decisions this week to digest - Indonesia's Bank Indonesia (BI) and the Philippines Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) on Thursday. Both are likely to leave policy unchanged, with BI maintaining its benchmark lending rate at 5.75% and the BSP keeping its key policy rate at 6.25%. The broader market tone across Asia on Monday could be one of caution, with investors tempted to take some profits from the recent rally. The annual core CPI rate is expected to ease to 3.1% from 3.4% in April.

Persons: Jamie McGeever, Antony Blinken's, Bank of Korea Governor Rhee Chang, Antony Blinken, Leslie Adler Organizations: People's Bank of, Indonesia's Bank Indonesia, Sentral ng Pilipinas, BI, BSP, Bank of Japan, Bank of Korea, Thomson, Reuters Locations: U.S, People's Bank of China, Beijing, American, China, Philippines, Asia, Japan, Hong Kong

☆ Bangladesh struggles to pay for fuel imports as dollar crisis worsens -letters
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-22 | by ( Ruma Paul | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

DHAKA, May 22 (Reuters) - Bangladesh is struggling to pay for imported fuel because of a dollar shortage, letters reviewed by Reuters show, with the state petroleum company owing more than $300 million as it faces an "alarming decrease in fuel reserves". Heavily reliant on energy imports, Bangladesh is grappling with power cuts resulting from a fuel shortage that have badly hurt its exports-oriented garments industry. BPC imports 500,000 tonnes of refined oil and 100,000 tonnes of crude oil every month. The April letter said several fuel suppliers had either sent fewer cargoes than scheduled or threatened to halt supplies. Others in South Asia, such as Sri Lanka and Pakistan, have also sought or received IMF funds this year.

☆ Philippine c.bank to hold rates at 6.25% in May after nine straight increases - Reuters poll
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-16 | by ( Devayani Sathyan | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Sixteen out 22 economists polled by Reuters between May 9-15 expected the BSP to leave its overnight borrowing rate (PHCBIR=ECI) at 6.25% at the meeting on Thursday. "Policymakers should be comforted by the pullback in inflation prints since February, with downward revisions to inflation forecasts potentially on the cards. Among economists who had a long-term view, 11 of 19 expected the BSP to maintain rates at 6.25% until end-June. Of the remaining eight economists, seven predicted rates to be at 6.50% or higher by then, while one forecast a 25 basis points cut to 6.00%. Median forecasts showed rates would remain at 6.25% at least until the end of the year.

May 16 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever. If the April snapshots of retail sales, urban investment and industrial production come in weaker than expected - and consensus forecasts are for solid rebounds from the month before - the China bears and doomsters will be in the ascendancy. Broader market sentiment may be reasonably well supported after Wall Street eked out modest gains on Monday despite alarming slump in a key index of U.S. factory activity and another day of deadlock in the U.S. debt ceiling negotiations. Here are three key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Tuesday:- Australia consumer sentiment (May)- China investment, retail sales, industrial output (April)- Euro zone GDP (Q1, flash estimate)By Jamie McGeever; Editing by Lisa ShumakerOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. They do not reflect the views of Reuters News, which, under the Trust Principles, is committed to integrity, independence, and freedom from bias.

☆ Philippines' finance minister says no reason for rate hike
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

MANILA, May 15 (Reuters) - The Philippine central bank has no reason to raise interest rates further as domestic inflation is easing, the country's finance minister said ahead of a May 18 monetary policy meeting. Finance Secretary Benjamin Diokno reiterated his stance against a rate hike when he spoke to reporters. "I'm for a pause, that's my opinion. "So over all, there's no reason why we should increase the rates." Some economists believe the inflation downtrend and cooling economic growth have built the case for the BSP to pause in its tightening cycle.

☆ Philippine c.bank chief: 'Dangerous' to cut rates faster than Fed
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

MANILA, April 26 (Reuters) - The Philippines' central bank considers it "dangerous" to cut interest rates faster than a policy easing by the U.S. Federal Reserve, its governor said on Wednesday. "If inflation in the U.S. is sticky and cuts are slow, it is very dangerous for the Philippine central bank to cut faster than the U.S.," Medalla said. Philippine inflation slowed for a second straight month in March to 7.6%. Gross domestic product could have expanded "in the neighbourhood of 6%" in the first quarter, Medalla said. A Philippine government inter-agency panel this week maintained its economic growth target of 6.0% to 7.0% this year on robust domestic economic activity amid global headwinds.

☆ Philippine c.bank may consider pausing rate rises if inflation slows
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-09 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

MANILA, April 9 (Reuters) - The Philippine central bank may consider pausing its monetary tightening next month if April inflation does not accelerate, the bank's governor said on Sunday. Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas Governor Felipe Medalla said in a telephone message to Reuters that a pause in interest rate increases was possible "if the April CPI (consumer price index) is not higher than the March CPI". Medalla said a "zero or negative month-on-month inflation" may also support the case for a rate hike pause. Philippine headline inflation eased for a second consecutive month in March to 7.6% from 8.6% in February but it remained above the central bank's 2%-4% target for the year. To tackle inflation, the BSP has raised its benchmark interest rate (PHCBIR=ECI) by 425 basis points since May last year to 6.25%.

However, confusing the picture core inflation accelerated to 8.0% in March from February's 7.8%, the fastest pace since 1999. Nicholas Mapa, an economist at ING bank, said a sustained downtrend in inflation could make the BSP consider hitting the pause button on its most aggressive interest rate hiking cycle for years. "Today's inflation reading could be one additional data point that could convince Governor Medalla that inflation is finally moderating," Mapa told Reuters. "We expect inflation to moderate further in April which could open up the door for a BSP pause at the May meeting." Finance Secretary Benjamin Diokno, who is one of the seven members of the central bank's policy making monetary board, said on Tuesday, the central bank has probably done enough to address inflation.

☆ Philippine minister says pause in rate rises likely at next bank meeting
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

MANILA, March 26 (Reuters) - Philippines Finance Secretary Benjamin Diokno said on Sunday he believed that the central bank was leaning towards a pause in interest rate rises at its next monetary policy meeting scheduled for May. "Non-monetary measures to ease inflation could address the problem more effectively", including those already adopted by fiscal authorities, Diokno said in a statement. The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas' decided on Thursday to continue fighting inflation with a rate increase, although at the slower pace of 25 basis points (bps) to 6.25% (PHCBIR=ECI). And monetary policy is not the only game in town. Besides ... monetary policy works with a long lag," said Diokno, who sits as a member of the seven-man monetary board of the central bank.

☆ Bearish bets on Asian FX return on renewed woes over Fed rate hikes - Reuters poll
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-23 | by ( Tejaswi Marthi | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +3 min

[1/4] A Singapore dollar note is seen in this illustration photo May 31, 2017. However, recent comments from the Fed about hiking rates for longer dampened sentiment. They turned bearish on the Thai baht , Asia's best-performing currency this year, the Singapore dollar and the Malaysian ringgit for the first time in three months. The poll uses estimates of net long or short positions on a scale of minus 3 to plus 3. The survey findings are provided below (positions in U.S. dollar versus each currency):Reporting by Tejaswi Marthi in BengaluruOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Feb 16 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever. Or rather, it is the reaction of world markets and risky assets to the repricing that is increasingly defying logic. This has come amid an astonishing rise in U.S. bond yields, market-based implied rates, and Fed policy expectations. According to U.S. 'SOFR' rate futures the implied year-end Fed policy rate is now above 5% - four months ago it was 4%, and six months ago it was only 3%. chartIn Asia, Bank Indonesia (BI) is expected to leave its key interest rate unchanged at 5.75%, which could mark the end of a short six-month long hiking cycle.

Summary Jan CPI at fresh 14-year high of 8.7%Faster-than-expected inflation raises odds of bigger rate hikeEconomic planning chief says inflation to moderate this yearMANILA, Feb 7 (Reuters) - Philippine annual inflation blew past expectations in January to reach a fresh 14-year high on surging food prices, raising the chance of the central bank delivering a bigger interest rate hike to tame prices when it meets this month. Given the faster-than-expected inflation in January, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) looks certain to hike interest rates by at least 25 basis points and with a bigger 50 bps likely to be on the table, ING economist Nicholas Mapa said in a Tweet. The Philippines' broader stock index (.PSI) dropped 0.4% in early trade on expectations of a larger rate hike, while the peso had slipped 0.5% at 54.73 per dollar as of 0211 GMT. The main factor behind January's red-hot inflation was the 11.2% annual rise in food inflation, the quickest pace since 2009, and compared to the previous month's 10.6%, and the 1.6% rate in the same month last year. Elevated inflation, plus the need to maintain interest rate differentials between the U.S. and the Philippines, have forced the central bank to embark on aggressive tightening, with the benchmark rate (PHCBIR=ECI) rising by a total of 350 bps last year.

[1/2] Construction of new buildings alongside older establishments is seen within the business district in Makati City, metro Manila, Philippines January 25, 2017. "We are confident that we will remain in our high growth trajectory," Baliscan told a media briefing on Thursday. On a quarter-on-quarter basis, GDP growth came in at 2.4% in October-December, compared with expectations for a 1.5% rise and the previous quarter's upwardly revised 3.3% expansion. Like the rest of the world, the Philippines is battling red-hot inflation, currently running at 14-year highs, which if not tamed could crimp domestic consumption, a major driver of growth. "We expect a difficult year ahead for the Philippines," Capital Economics said in a note, citing the impact of high inflation and tighter monetary policy on domestic spending.

☆ Philippines c.bank hopes to cut rates in 2024, flags RRR reduction
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-12 | by ( Neil Jerome Morales | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

"By 2024, when pent-up demand is gone, then monetary policy hopefully at that time will be much looser than what we have now," he said. Another easing measure could involve banks' reserve requirement ratio, with a high probability of it being cut in the first half, Medalla told reporters. The BSP stands ready to take further monetary policy actions to bring inflation back to within a target-consistent path, Medalla said. The figure brought the average full-year inflation rate to 5.8%, also a 14-year high and above the official 2%-4% target band. "If the U.S. is increasing policy rates, we need not match it but if it's 50 (basis points), it's hard not to respond, at least partially," Medalla said.

☆ Philippines c.bank flags 25 or 50 bps rate hike next month
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-10 | by ( Neil Jerome Morales | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

"The pressure on us to match U.S. increases will be much lower," Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) Governor Felipe Medalla told reporters. Inflation will likely fall below the midpoint of the target range by end-2023 or early 2024, he said. The central bank's main concerns, for now, are inflation and, to some extent, a strong dollar and Medalla said he could not rule out further rate hikes until inflation pressures ease. What I am worried about is we are late and there will be a greater sacrifice of output later on," he said. Reporting by Neil Jerome Morales Editing by Ed DaviesOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

☆ Philippines extends tariff cuts on imported rice, other food items to fight inflation
▼ + stars: | 2022-12-18 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +1 min

MANILA, Dec 18 (Reuters) - Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr has approved the recommendation of the economic ministry to extend up to the end of next year lower tariff rates on rice and other food items to help combat inflation, his office said on Sunday. The modified rates approved in 2021 were due to expire at the end of this year, but an inflation rate running at 14-year highs warranted an extension of the tariff reprieve until Dec. 31, 2023. That means the tariff rate for imported rice will stay at 35%, while the import levies on corn and pork products will remain at 5%-15% and 15%-25% respectively, the press secretary's office said in a statement. At 8.0% in November, consumer price inflation is well beyond the Philippine central bank's target range of 2%-4% for this year and the medium term. "We are determined to steer the Philippine economy to meet the 6.0%-7.0% economic growth target for 2023," Balisacan said.

We’re going to win Georgia,” Biden said in response to questions regarding his outlook on the Georgia Senate runoff contest as he exited Air Force One Tuesday night. Share this -Link copiedWarnock defeats Walker in Georgia Senate runoff, NBC News projects Sen. Raphael Warnock has won his second statewide runoff election in the last two years, defeating Republican Herschel Walker in the increasingly purple state of Georgia to capture a six-year term in the Senate, NBC News projected. Share this -Link copiedThe Senate runoff election is still too close to call, but Warnock leads The Senate runoff election between Warnock and Walker is still too close to call, but Warnock leads, NBC News' Decision Desk said just before 10 p.m. Share this -Link copiedPolls close soon in critical Georgia Senate runoff Polls are closing at 7 p.m. ET in the Senate runoff election in Georgia, where Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock is hoping to fend off a challenge from Republican Herschel Walker.

The turnout in the Senate runoff was nearly 75% to 80% of the entire turnout for the midterm election in November. Share this -Link copiedPolls close soon in critical Georgia Senate runoff Polls are closing at 7 p.m. ET in the Senate runoff election in Georgia, where Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock is hoping to fend off a challenge from Republican Herschel Walker. Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock has a massive ad-spending and fundraising advantage over Republican Herschel Walker in the runoff election. In the 2022 general election, Warnock grew his advantage in Henry County, winning it by just over 31 points.

Share this -Link copiedGroups work to mobilize Latino voters in Georgia Senate runoff From giving away bingo-like Mexican lotería cards to Taco Tuesdays and World Cup watch parties, Latino voting mobilization efforts ramped up in Georgia leading into the Senate runoff election. Share this -Link copiedPolls close soon in critical Georgia Senate runoff Polls are closing at 7 p.m. ET in the Senate runoff election in Georgia, where Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock is hoping to fend off a challenge from Republican Herschel Walker. Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock has a massive ad-spending and fundraising advantage over Republican Herschel Walker in the runoff election. In the 2022 general election, Warnock grew his advantage in Henry County, winning it by just over 31 points.

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